Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Jarron Jones Scouting Report: The Irish Mammoth

Written by Christian Lysek

Every year in the NFL draft, we see some of the freakiest athletes get picked. This year will produce such specimens like Myles Garrett, Obi Melifonwu, Tanoh Kpassagnon, and Jarron Jones. Jarron Jones may be the least well-known of the group. The mammoth from Notre Dame has dealt with injuries and did not attend an all-star game. Despite this, Jones has shown potential almost as big as he is and is one of my favorite sleepers in the draft. Here's why:

Measurables: 
Height- 6'5''
Weight- 315 lbs
Year:
Junior (23)
2016 stat line:
45 tackles (26 solo), 11 TFLs, 2 sacks, 3 PDs, 1 FF

Pros: Jarron Jones is enormous. He checks off every physical box from length to width. He surprisingly shows a quick first step and low(ish) pad level for his size. Against the run, he is a force. He explodes off the line of scrimmage and uses his length and strength to barrel through guards. He is a good finisher as well who does not miss many tackles. As a pass rusher, he flashes a bull rush, rip move, and swim move. Jones has active hands and keeps his legs pumping even through double teams. He also does a good job of getting his massive mits up to deflect passes if he cannot reach the quarterback.

Cons: The biggest knock on Jones is that he can't stay healthy. He has suffered through MCL, foot, and other injuries throughout his career. He needs to pass medical tests if he wants a shot at being an early round pick. Jones also needs to show consistency on passing downs and inside runs. He needs to avoid getting stood up by guards while rushing. On inside runs, Jones needs to show better strength and not get turned away from the running lane by the offensive lineman.

Pro Comparison: Michael Brockers, DL, LA Rams
Michael Brockers is a freaky big player who (when at his best) is the yin to Aaron Donald's yang. Donald uses his quickness to rush the quarterback and Brockers utilizes his power to eat up blockers, stop the run, and occasionally pass rush. Jones could see a similar role in his NFL career.

3 teams that could use him: The Texans love to have monsters on the defensive line, and Jones can plug up the inside while JJ Watt, Whitney Mercilus, and Jadeveon Clowney dominate the edge. The Buccaneers are always looking for a defensive lineman to pair with Gerald McCoy, so it would be worth seeing if him and Jones complement each other well. The Falcons need help on the defensive line next to breakout candidate Grady Jarrett, so Jones could slide in next to him and bolster the front seven.

Conclusion: Jarron Jones is a monster who can dominate in the run and pass game if he gets better coaching and can stay on the field. He should come off the board in rounds 3-5.

All stats from www.sports-reference.com

Monday, February 13, 2017

Green Bay Packers Off-season Guide

Written by Christian Lysek

How many times did we hear it: Aaron Rodgers needs help. It echoed around the sports world as the Packers fell to the Falcons in the NFC championship. Now the Packers need to perform the obvious maneuver and get Rodgers a running game plus an extra receiving threat. The defense could also use some work, especially with EDGE rushers and corners.  Here is how the Packers can check out all of the boxes.

Free Agency:
Cap Space: $35,275,292 (According to Fanspeak Ultimate GM after the cutting of James Starks and Sam Shields)
Notable Free Agents: RB Eddie Lacy, EDGE Nick Perry, EDGE Julius Peppers, OG TJ Lang, C JC Tretter, S Micah Hyde, TE Jared Cook
Eddie Lacy is overweight, inconsistent, and injury prone. Not resigning him should be common sense, especially since he has not had a good season since 2014. Nick Perry has been the Packers most consistent EDGE rusher when he is on the field, so resigning him is a priority.  Julius Peppers is a big name and still has gas in the tank, but he is just a rotational player and the Packers need to get younger at the position anyway. TJ Lang is a top ten or top five guards in the league, and the Packers cannot let him walk. JC Tretter is less of a priority, as he is just a solid player as opposed to a very good one. He will probably walk just because the Packers need the money to sign Lang, Perry, and safety Micah Hyde. Hyde is one of the defensive brights spots and is a good running mate to HaHa Clinton-Dix. Jared Cook did make that amazing catch versus Dallas to keep the Packer's dreams alive, but he was inconsistent for most of the season.

On the Market Prospects: TE Jack Doyle, OL Steven Wisniewski, RB Darren McFadden
Jack Doyle had a breakout season last year for the Colts, showing good blocking technique and great receiving ability. He can be Jared Cook's replacement. Steven Wisniewski can play each interior spot and is cheaper than JC Tretter. Even if the Packers draft a running back, they still need somebody to replace James Starks. Darren McFadden is not far removed from a 1,000 yard rushing season and could give the Packers another dimension on offense.


The Draft:

Early Round (1 and 2) Prospects:
If the Packers are serious about getting Aaron Rodgers some help, then Christian McCaffrey has to be the guy. He could bolster the run, pass, and return games and make the Packers less predictable on offense. If they choose to go defensive in the first round, the Packers should look at Takkarist McKinnely, Jarrad Davis, Gareon Conely, or Marlon Humphrey. McKinnely is a natural fit in the Packer's 4-3 scheme as an EDGE rusher and he could improve their pass rush. Jarrad Davis is a fast and mean linebacker from the defensive factory that is Florida. He could step in and start day one. Gareon Conely and Marlon Humphrey are both long corners who can help in the run game, something the Packers could use. In the second round, the Packers should look at Fabian Moreau at corner or Ryan Anderson at the EDGE position. Moreau is long and fast and could replace Sam Shields, while Ryan Anderson is an EDGE rusher who can play in space.

Late Round (3-7) Prospects:
Joe Mathis was a standout rusher for the Washington Huskies and fits the Packer's scheme. Pat Eflien is an All-American center from Ohio State who could fill in for JC Tretter. Derek Rivers is a small school pass rusher who could play on third downs. Cole Hikutini is a standout tight end threat from Louisville who could replace Jared Cook. Bug Howard is a tall, fast deep threat from North Carolina. Peter Kalambayi is a linebacker who can pass rush and play in a traditional linebacker role. Ahkello Witherspoon played opposite Chidobe Awuzie in a standout Colorado secondary, and he has the physical tools to succeed in the league. Connor McDermott is a project player, but the Packers could select him and try and harness his monster size (6'8'' 310 lbs).

One move nobody may see coming:
There are rumors that Adrian Peterson may not be a Viking next year, but what if the Packers picked him up? It would be just like the Vikings signing Brett Farve after his Green Bay days. Peterson could provide the rushing presence that the Packers need and it would be a punch in the gut to their division rivals.

What I would do
  • Resign Micah Hyde, TJ Lang, and Nick Perry
  • Sign Darren McFadden
  • Draft: Round 1-Christian McCaffrey, Round 2- Fabian Moreau, Round 3- Pat Eflien, Round 3- Joe Mathis, Round 4- Cole Hikutini, Round 5- Bug Howard, Round 6- Derek Rivers, Round 7- Ahkello Witherspoon
Cap and free agency data provided by Fanspeak UltimateGM service

Ryan Switzer Scouting Report: More than a Short White Guy

Written by Christian Lysek

We all know the stereotype. White skill players, specifically wide receivers, are always linked to either Wes Welker, Julian Edelman, or Jordy Nelson. Ryan Switzer from North Carolina falls into the Wes Welker category for many people. While we can debate about the morality of the stereotype, Switzer may actually be similar to Welker than other white prospects in the past. He may even have just as productive of a career as Welker. Here's why:

Measurables:
5'10''
185 lbs
Year: 
Senior (22)
2016 stat line:
96 receptions, 1112 yards, 6 TDs

Pros: Ryan Switzer is a quarterbacks best friend. He primarily works out of the slot, using crisp route running to get open for the quarterback. He cuts fast and has a good acceleration out of his break to pull away from defenders. He then uses his strong hands to reel in catches that are high, low, and everywhere in between. While some people just think of slot receivers as dump off targets, Switzer is much more than that. He can run posts and corner routes down the field and be an effective receiver. While Switzer is small, he plays big. He is absolutely fearless and does not shy from contact. That translates to the return game, something he excels at. He has taken 7 punts and kicks back to the house over the course of his college career, and he uses his foot quickness and agility to evade defenders on his way to the end zone.

Cons: The obvious weakness for Switzer is his size. His height and weight will limit him to slot and return duties. It also limits his impact as a blocker. He gives effort, but there is only so much a 185 receiver can do against a defender. His size also prevents him from fighting to gaian extra yards. I noticed on several occasions that Switzer was bounced back or halted inches before he could reach the marker because the defender was bigger than him. He needs to learn to find the marker and fall forward if he wants to be a great slot player. Switzer is very agile but not extremely fast, so he won't pull away from elite corners when running full speed.

Pro Comparison: Wes Welker
Yes, I am well aware that this is the traditional white guy stereotype, but hear me out. Welker is about the same size as Switzer and uses route running and agility to get open. Welker was known for being tough as nails, willing to take huge hits as long as he made a catch. Welker was also a huge asset in the return game, and he used his foot quickness and agility to evade defenders on his way to the house.

3 teams that fit him: The Panthers would be smart to select the hometown guy in the late rounds, as they have a ton of big play wide outs (Kelvin Benjamin, Devin Funchess, and Ted Ginn) but no reliable check down guy. Switzer could step right in and be a safety blanket for Cam Newton. The Broncos passing offense last season mostly consisted of Trevor Siemian chucking deep balls to Demarius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Switzer could provide a new dimension to a struggling offense. Jared Goff needs all the help he can get at Los Angeles, so the Rams would be wise to select a late-round security blanket for him such a Switzer.

Conclusion: Ryan Switzer's size limits him to the slot, but he is a special player at that position. Add in his return game, and Switzer can be a late round gem for a team looking for a specialist. He will probably go in rounds 3-5.

Myles Garrett Scouting Report: The potential #1 overall pick

Written by Christian Lysek

There are three positions I consider to be worthy of the first overall pick: EDGE rusher, quarterback, and offensive tackle. We already know it is a bad year for quarterbacks and an even worse one for offensive tackles, but the EDGE class is absolutely stacked. At the top of that list is Myles Garrett, a freak who was one of college football's best players the moment he set foot on Texas A&M's campus. Everyone is saying he will be the number one overall pick, and here's why:

Measurables:

6'5''
262 lbs
Year: 
Junior (21)
2016 stat line:
33 tackles (18 solo), 15 TFL, 8.5 sacks, 2 PD, 2 FF

Pros: It cannot be said enough that Myles Garret is a freak. No one that big should move as fast as he does. He should destroy the combine. The important thing about his athleticism, though, is that you see it on the field and not just at the underwear olympics. His first step is lightning quick. It is so quick that he sometimes beats tackles just off of his first step alone without even having to bend the edge. When he does have to bend the edge, he does an excellent job of dipping his shoulder and staying balanced all the way to the quarterback. Garrett also has a powerful bull rush that knocks tackles off balance and drives them to the quarterback. Garrett is no slouch in run support either, He does a good job of setting the edge and has a sound tackling form. Additionally, Garrett does a good job of getting his arms up to deflect passes if he knows he cannot sack the quarterback.

Cons: The biggest problem with Garrett is that he needs a good counter-move. I want to see a spin when his speed rush fails or a swim move if his bull rush fails. Overall, Garrett just needs to improve his hand technique. Fortunately, these can be coached. He also has a nagging ankle injury, but that is not really a big deal if it checks out at the combine.

Pro Comparison: Jevon Kearse
Fans often forget how amazing "The Freak" was in his prime. He could win with speed and power using his tremendous athleticism. If Kearse had been able to keep the pace he set in the early years of his career, we would be talking about a Hall of Famer. We may be talking about Garrett in that conversation years from now.

3 teams that fit him: Let's put it this way: If the Browns don't draft Myles Garrett, then Urban Meyer is secretly drafting for them to drive up the attendance at Ohio State games.

Conclusion: Myles Garrett will be the number #1 overall pick. He has all of the tools to be a perennial pro bowler in the NFL. Don't overthink this one.

Wednesday, February 8, 2017

Patrick Mahomes II Scouting Report: The Ultimate Boom or Bust Prospect

Written by Christian Lysek

If you have been following the draft up to this point, you probably have found out that this is a very weak quarterback class. None of the prospects are close to the talent level that the two recent draft classes have produced at the quarterback position (Carson Wentz, Jared Goff, Marcus Mariota, Jameis Winston, to name a few). For some, Patrick Mahomes is the one who can seize the top quarterback position and be a stud for some team due to his physical attributes. For me, Patrick Mahomes is the biggest boom-or-bust prospects in recent memory, even bigger than Robert Nkemdiche. Here's why:

Measurables:
6'3''
230 lbs
Year: 
Junior
2016 stat line:
5052 passing yards, 65.7% completion percentage, 41 TDs, 10 INT, 27 sacks, 285 rushing yards, 12 rushing TDs

Pros: Pat Mahomes certainly looks the part. His height, bulk, and arm size are pro-typical and are a good template to work with. Mahomes can heave the ball quite far downfield and throws with a great velocity. He throws a little bit like an unrefined Phillip Rivers, as he releases the ball from the side rather than over his shoulder. It seems to work for him. Mahomes typically has several "wow" plays a game, where he fits a ball into a space that does not seem big enough for a football. He has enough accuracy flashes to warrant scouts getting excited. The best throws Mahomes makes are plays where he moves his legs or pump fakes to draw the defenders eyes and then rifles a pass to a receiver behind them. Mahomes ability to make these throws allowed Texas Tech receivers to YAC their way to big gains and touchdowns because the defenders were caught off guard. He also is a very good dual threat. He can extend plays and is good at picking up yards rushing.

Cons: For every spectacular throw Mahomes makes, he seems to make an atrocious one. His tape is littered with head-scratching throws that lead to picks or deflections. While Mahomes is very accurate when he is feeling it, his accuracy is terrible when he isn't. if he is missing a throw, it usually is an uncatchable ball as opposed to a more challenging catch. Part of this is due to his footwork. Some high school recruits have been taught better footwork than Mahomes, so an NFL team will need to start from scratch in that department. Mahomes just tends to forget his fundamentals in general. He chucks the ball across his body a disturbingly frequent amount of times and gets panicked when defenders get into the pocket, leading to the 27 sacks. He will just hold on the ball too much and either force a pass or take a sack. On top of all of this, the Texas Tech offense has never produced a quarterback that has had any sustained success in the NFL.

Pro Comparison: Colin Kaepernick
Colin Kaepernick is a great physical talent who could never quite grasp an NFL offense. While he was an effective quarterback in a dumbed down system, he has not been able to make a good transition to a full-time NFL offense. Mahomes will face a similar challenge, it is just a matter of whether he can make the necessary adjustments that Kaepernick could not.

3 teams that fit him: The Chargers, Steelers, and Saints (and the Giants) all have aging quarterbacks that will need replacements soon, so letting Mahomes sit behind some of the best quarterbacks in league history and learning from them and the coaching staff could help Mahomes reach his sky-high potential.

Conclusion: Patrick Mahomes is a physical talent that needs years of coaching to become acclimated to the NFL. He fits best with a team looking for a long-term replacement with a high ceiling for their aging star quarterback. He will probably be drafted in the 2nd or 3rd round.

Tuesday, February 7, 2017

Patriots Off Season Guide

Written by Christian Lysek

If anybody had any doubts that the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady era Patriots have been the most dominant team in NFL history, those doubts were silenced on Sunday. The Patriots nearly lost, but the best quarterback of all time and a bunch of cast-offs from other teams dominated the Falcons in a way only the Patriots could. They enter the off season as champions, but they have plenty of tough decisions to make this off season, starting with free agency.

Free Agency:
Cap Space: $56,283,802 (According to Fanspeak Ultimate GM)
Notable Free Agents: TE Martellus Bennett, RB LeGarrette Blount, OT Sebastian Vollmer, WR Michael Floyd, EDGE Chris Long, EDGE Jabaal Sheard, LB Dont'a Hightower
The Patriots have a lot of good players due for free agency. Dont'a Hightower is the priority free agent, and while he will be expensive, he is a complete linebacker and the best player on their defense. LeGarrette Blount lead the NFL in touchdowns, but he is an older back that will probably demand more money than the front office is willing to pay. Sebastian Vollmer is getting old and is often injured, but when healthy he is one of the better offensive tackles in the league. That one could go either way. The same can be said for Martellus Bennett, but he likes the Patriots so much he might come back for cheaper than most may think. Michael Floyd was productive in his short stint with the Patriots, but I do not see the Pats resigning him. Jabaal Sheard and Chris Long were rotational pass rushers, but neither stood out and both are old, so I doubt both are resigned ( I would have my money on Long coming back).

On the Market Prospects: OT Riley Reiff, OT Ricky Wagner, EDGE Mario Addison, WR Kamar Aiken
Riley Reiff and Ricky Wagner are both young, quality options that could replace Sebastian Vollmer. They won't be cheap, but they will be reliable. Mario Addison lead the Panthers in sacks last year, and he could replace Jabaal Sheard coming off the edge. Kamar Aiken has not had a huge role with the Ravens, but whenever someone gets hurt, he steps up, which would be huge for the injury plagued wide receiving corps of the Patriots.

Trade Prospect: QB Jimmy Garoppolo
There are rumors that the Patriots will trade Garoppolo to just about every quarterback needy team. There is a good chance they might in exchange for draft picks, and you know the Patriots will find some perennial pro bowler with those picks, In reality, however, they have no real reason to trade Garoppolo. Tom Brady cannot play forever, and it is not like the Patriots need extra picks because they have over $55 million in cap space and a pick in every round anyway. Their best course of action is to give Garoppolo the Aaron Rodgers treatment and sit him until Brady retires.

The Draft:

Early Round (1 and 2) Prospects:
Christian McCaffrey has been the go-to prospect for mock drafters when it comes to the Patriots. I could see Belichick drooling with all of the ways he could use McCaffrey in the offense. While he may be a similar style runner to James White and Dion Lewis, Belichick could take a page out of Atlanta's offense and draft a back that has a higher upside than either. We all know Belichick loves versatile defenders, so Jabrill Peppers, Haasson Reddick, or Zac Cunningham makes sense. They are all physical freak with multiple uses that Belichick can find. The biggest positional need might be EDGE rusher, however, so look for Belichick to invest in a player. At the end of the first round, pass rushing talents such as Demarcus Walker and Carl Lawson should be available. I think they would pick Lawson, simply because he can rush standing up or with his hand in the dirt and is a more complete player than Walker.

Late Round (3-7) Prospects:
The Patriots need a bulldozing back to replace Blount if he leaves in free agency, so drafting James Connor or Brian Hill makes sense, as they can work at the goal line and carry the ball 20 times a game. It would be worth spending a pick on the secondary to, so I think they could pick a guy like Cameron Sutton or Corn Elder who could play corner or safety in the pros. Offensive line depth is always important, so picking a guy like Avery Gennesy could provide depth and possibly a long term starter at tackle. Josh Reynolds has height and speed, something that the Patriots receiving core could use. Issac Rochell is like a poor mans Demarcus Walker who can play the edge or tackle positions. Michael Rector is a late round wide receiver with field stretching ability the patriots would like. Jonnu Smith is a sleeper tight end with a big frame and great receiving skills.

One move nobody may see coming:
Everybody knows that the Patriots may trade Jimmy G, but what if they traded him to the Browns for a draft pick and Joe Thomas? He could seal Brady's blindside until he retires and could finally earn a ring while the Browns get their quarterback of the future. Thomas has reportedly been on the trade block for a while, so there is no reason he will not be traded now.

What I would do

  • Resign Martellus Bennett, Dont'a Hightower, and Chris Long
  • Sign Kamar Aiken, Ricky Wagner, and  Mario Addison
  • Draft: Round 1-Carl Lawson, Round 2- Haason Reddick, Round 3- Corn Elder, Round 3- James Connor, Round 4- Issac Rochell, Round 5- Avery Gennesy, Round 6- Jonnu Smith, Round 7- Michael Rector

Cap and free agency data provided by Fanspeak UltimateGM service.

Raekwon McMillan Scouting Report: Continuing the Buckeye Tradition

Written by Christian Lysek

In the 2016 draft, the New York Jets selected Darron Lee with their first round pick, a linebacker from Ohio State. I did not watch a lot of Ohio State games that year, but I remember watching a post-draft show and realizing that Darron Lee was not even the leading tackler on his own team. The leading tackler was a sophomore named Raekwon McMillan. Now, after leading the Buckeyes in tackles again, he is going to enter the NFL draft. Here is my report on the tackling machine:

Measurables: 
Height- 6'2''
Weight- 242 lbs
Year:
Junior (21)
2016 stat line:
102 tackles (49 solo), 7 TFLs, 2 sacks, 5 PDs, 2 FFs

Pros: Raekwon McMillan is a highly instinctual player. He is always around the ball and does a good job of diagnosing trick and option plays. Against the inside runs, McMillan flies downhill with tremendous force and does a good job of shedding blocks and wrapping up running backs. On outside runs, McMillan shows good speed as he is fast enough to prevent the runner from turning the corner and ripping off a big run. No matter where the run is though, McMillan is almost guaranteed not to miss the tackle. He displays good fundamentals when tackling: he flies in with enough force to prevent the runner's momentum without inciting injury or roughness flags on himself. In the passing game, McMillan is best used covering running backs and spying the quarterback. He has enough speed and instincts to keep up with running backs and even break up some passes. When spying, McMillan does a great job of wrapping up the runaway quarterback, preventing big gains and first downs. On top of this, McMillan has pro-typical size for a linebacker. He has a thick frame that will not get mauled against bigger competition.

Cons: During my film sessions, I rarely saw McMillan cover a tight end. He mostly played zone in the middle of the field on passing plays, so he will probably struggle splitting out wide and cover tight ends and running backs man-to-man in the pros. I would also like to see McMillan freeze less when faced with play action. This weakness was exposed during the Oklahoma game, where he took himself out of the play by losing track of who had the ball. It is something that comes with experience, though, so it should not concern teams that much.

Pro Comparison: Jerrell Freeman, LB, Chicago Bears
If there is one word to describe Jerrell Freeman, it is tackling machine. He uses sound technique and does a great job of sniffing out plays using his instincts. He is not an elite coverage linebacker, but he is good enough to be on the field on third down. I see McMillan playing a similar role with his NFL team.

3 teams that could use him: Unfortunately for the Kansas City Chiefs, it may be time to start looking for star linebacker Derrick Johnson's replacement. He is 34 years old and coming off of an achilles tendon tear, so it makes sense for the Chiefs to scoop up McMillan.  Outside of Kiko Alonso, the Dolphins linebackers are terrible. It is time for them to overhaul the position so they can give that dominant front four support. If McMillan falls into the second round, they 49ers may want to consider selecting him. Navarro Bowman has been plagued by injuries and the retirement of Chris Borland left the 49ers without youth and upside in the linebacking core. McMillan could play next to or in place of Bowman on day one.

Conclusion: Raekwon McMillan is a tackling machine with good size and coverage ability. He is a very safe pick and should go from the bottom half of the first round to the top half of the second round.

All stats from www.sports-reference.com